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GLOBAL WARMING - SOLAR EFFECTS ON GREENHOUSE GASES
 WE ARE CARETAKERS OF THIS EARTH
DISCLAIMER: As you know, Carbon Blueprints is dedicated to accuracy and truth. This site is allowing this discussion, of which each "fact" must be backed up by research and accurate data, in order make sure we know what is true, what is myth, and what is a lie.
WHAT IS THE SOLAR EFFECT ON GREENHOUSE GASES?:
The greenhouse effect is caused by greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane, and other thicker gases floating around in our atmosphere and it's interactions from the energy of the sun. When the sun's energy/heat comes through our atmosphere, bouncing off the earth surface on its way back to space these gases stop the release of this energy and it raises the temperature of the earth's atmosphere. Without this greenhouse gas layer no heat would stay in and the temperature would plummit to unknown and possibly unliveable conditions. 		Carbon Cycle


So greenhouse gases in our atmosphere at good levels are good for us and our environment. If you increase the greenhouse gases, you reduce how much of the sun's energy/heat can rebound into space which is a bad thing for our environment. The heat can hurt or change the environment in which we live. If you increase the insulation within the house, you moderately cool house can get hot pretty quickly, and without ventilation can over heat the structure. Insulating the atmosphere with more greenhouse gases can create a hotter and more dangerous place to live.

The other important subject that goes along with this is the idea that the sun's energy/heat can be heating up at the source and/or that the earth could be moving closer to the sun. So if you increase or decrease the amount of energy that is coming into our atmosphere or move the souce closer or farther away, the temperature would also increase or decrease to some extent. This is just logical thinking, no data needed to see this is a fact, if you increase the heat source, you don't need to increase the insulation to get a warmer house. The question to ask is, is the sun heating up at this time? Is that souce of heat/energy getting hotter. From NASA records, kept since the late 1970s, the sun's energy output has increased by .5 of a percent per decade. Considering that the whole sun is a simmering ball of heat/energy and this energy that interacts with our atmosphere, even a half of a percent, would effect it quite a bit. Now this is not 100% fact, since it is so hard to measure the movement of air here on earth since it is so complex and turbulent. Again, let it be stated that this is not to say that this is the only reason the earth is heating up, but that it could be one of the sources.

Because of the air movement on earth is so turbulent and always changing, researchers in Germany have reported that the earth may have a break from global warming for the next 10 years. They have designed a climate model that shows that the earth may not be warming up as fast as initially suspected and that we may have some time before the next temperature increase. This might be a time of increasing ice collection and compaction, restoring our glaciers.

Could this have anything to do with the fact that the sun's radiance cycle has come to an end and is about to start heating up once more. The sun has a radiance (solar activity) cycle of about 11 years and this cycle just finished last year after about an 11- 12 years run. At this same time, solar activity slows down and the sun stops producing so many solar flares. Could this also show that the earth's temperature may be effected by the sun energy/heat output considering the winter of 2008 came close to all time lows, lowering the winter temperatures below the international winter average temperature.

This effect of glacial ice melt is also reported to be taking effect on Mar's, yet there is no manmade greenhouse emissions. There are gases on Mars but they are not the same as our greenhouse gases here on earth. There is still limited technology to find out what is exactly causing this change in climate on that planet, but we are equally inadequate to find the reasoning behind our climate change as well. This is not to say we are not trying.

"THEORY" = Prediction for the Future
"MUST CONFIRM WITH DATA" = Data is not in and has not been provided as of yet.

 "FACT" = data is in and there is no question.
"CONFLICT" is when both sides have accurate" data but they conflict.
SOURCE:
FOR
AGAINST
SOURCE:

NATURE.COM - Sun not to blame for global warming.

(CONFLICTS WITH DATA ACQUIRED)

Sun not to blame for global warming. A study has confirmed that there are no grounds to blame the Sun for recent global warming. The analysis shows that global warming since 1985 has been caused neither by an increase in solar radiation nor by a decrease in the flux of galactic cosmic rays

Since our entire climate system is fundamentally driven by energy from the sun, it stands to reason that if the sun's energy output were to change, then so would the climate. Since the advent of space-borne measurements in the late 1970s, solar output has indeed been shown to vary. With now 28 years of reliable satellite observations there is confirmation of earlier suggestions of an 11 (and 22) year cycle of irradiance related to sunspots but no longer term trend in these data.

NOAA - Solar Activity and Uncertainty if it makes an effect.

(MUST CONFIRM WITH DATA)

Since the late 1970s, the amount of solar radiation the sun emits, during times of quiet sunspot activity, has increased by nearly .05 percent per decade, according to a NASA funded study.

"This trend is important because, if sustained over many decades, it could cause significant climate change," said Richard Willson, a researcher affiliated with NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University's Earth Institute, New York. He is the lead author of the study recently published in Geophysical Research Letters.

NASA - GOBBARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER - NASA study finds increasing solar trend that can change climate.

(CONFIRMED WITH DATA)

Based on paleoclimatic (proxy) reconstructions of solar irradiance there is suggestion of a trend of about +0.12 W/m2 since 1750 which is about half of the estimate given in the last IPCC report in 2001. There is though, a great deal of uncertainty in estimates of solar irradiance beyond what can be measured by satellites, and still the contribution of direct solar irradiance forcing is small compared to the greenhouse gas component. However, our understanding of the indirect effects of changes in solar output and feedbacks in the climate system is minimal. There is much need to refine our understanding of key natural forcing mechanisms of the climate, including solar irradiance changes, in order to reduce uncertainty in our projections of future climate change.

NOAA - Solar Activity and Uncertainty if it makes an effect.

(MUST CONFIRM WITH DATA)
In addition to changes in energy from the sun itself, the Earth's position and orientation relative to the sun (our orbit) also varies slightly, thereby bringing us closer and further away from the sun in predictable cycles (called Milankovitch cycles). Variations in these cycles are believed to be the cause of Earth's ice-ages (glacials). Particularly important for the development of glacials is the radiation receipt at high northern latitudes. Diminishing radiation at these latitudes during the summer months would have enabled winter snow and ice cover to persist throughout the year, eventually leading to a permanent snow- or icepack. While Milankovitch cycles have tremendous value as a theory to explain ice-ages and long-term changes in the climate, they are unlikely to have very much impact on the decade-century timescale. Over several centuries, it may be possible to observe the effect of these orbital parameters, however for the prediction of climate change in the 21st century, these changes will be far less important than radiative forcing from greenhouse gases.

NOAA - Uncertainty is due to many factors consisting of earth's position and orientation, and sun activity and this could possibly effect Global Warming.

(MUST CONFIRM WITH DATA)

Simultaneous warming on Earth and Mars suggests that our planet's recent climate changes have a natural—and not a human-induced—cause, according to one scientist's controversial theory.

Earth is currently experiencing rapid warming, which the vast majority of climate scientists says is due to humans pumping huge amounts of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. (Get an overview: "Global Warming Fast Facts".)

Mars, too, appears to be enjoying more mild and balmy temperatures.

In 2005 data from NASA's Mars Global Surveyor and Odyssey missions revealed that the carbon dioxide "ice caps" near Mars's south pole had been diminishing for three summers in a row.

Habibullo Abdussamatov, head of space research at St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia, says the Mars data is evidence that the current global warming on Earth is being caused by changes in the sun.

"The long-term increase in solar irradiance is heating both Earth and Mars," he said.

NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC - Mars Melt Hints at Solar, Not Human, Cause for Warming, Scientist Says

(CONFIRMED WITH DATA)

Global warming is taking a break that could last for another 10 years or so.

That's the latest word from a team of climate researchers in Germany. Global average temperatures should remain above normal, the team suggests. But additional warming – already on hold over the first seven years of this decade – is likely to remain that way for another decade. The reason? The team says it expects natural shifts in ocean circulation to affect temperatures in ways that temporarily out-wrestle the effects of rising greenhouse-gas emissions.

The forecast is "very bold," cautions Tom Delworth, a scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory at Princeton University. But, he adds, it represents the cutting edge of climate modeling. The German effort is one of the first widely published attempts to offer climate forecasts on time scales of a decade or so, rather than a century or more. The findings appear in Thursday's edition of Nature

CHRISTIAN MONITOR.COM - A 10-year timeout for global warming, study says. The German research effort is one of the first to attempt 10-year climate forecasts.

(CONFIRMED WITH DATA - Double checked by multiple scientists with their own studies and reports)

       


 
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